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Should I lease or buy my next car?

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My car is twelve years old and I'm finally replacing it. The dealer keeps pushing a lease with a low monthly payment, but my parents say leasing is throwing money away. I drive about 12,000 miles a year and like having a newer car. Which makes more sense for me?

Diagram: Lease vs buy — Check your miles; Get terms in writing; Compare total cost; Negotiate price first

Concerns & risks

You're replacing an old car, a lease payment looks tempting, and you're hearing strong opinions on both sides.

At a glance: quick fit test
You…Often fits
Drive under the lease mileageLease
Keep cars 8+ yearsBuy
Drive a lotBuy
Want a new car every few yearsLease
Toyota Camry sedan (Toyota official image), annotated: Compare total cost, not just the payment
Compare total cost, not just the payment. Image: Toyota (official source, cropped and annotated by ReportSpeed)
Overview diagram: Lease vs buy — Check your miles; Get terms in writing; Compare total cost; Negotiate price first
The whole fix at a glance: check your miles, get terms in writing, compare total cost, negotiate price first. Original diagram by ReportSpeed

Causes & evidence

When you lease, you pay for the car's expected depreciation during the lease term plus fees and a finance charge, then return it. The FTC notes leases usually include a mileage limit, with charges for miles over it, and fees for excess wear and tear when you return the car, plus possible early termination charges. When you buy, whether with cash or a loan, you pay more each month on a loan, but you own the car and can keep it after it's paid off. Over many years, keeping a bought car usually costs less than leasing one car after another, while leasing gives you a newer car more often.

Lease contracts list the capitalised cost, residual value and money factor, which together determine the payment. Ask for these figures in writing.

Troubleshooting flowchart: try each step in order and stop when it is fixed — Should I lease or buy my next car
Work through it in order and stop when the problem is gone. Original diagram by ReportSpeed

Comparing only monthly payments ignores mileage limits, wear charges and what you have at the end: a car you own or nothing.

What to do

Step illustration: numbered steps for Should I lease or buy my next car
The steps from this answer as numbered cards. Original diagram by ReportSpeed
Comparison chart: Lease vs buy at a glance (FTC)
Lease vs buy at a glance (FTC). Original diagram by ReportSpeed
Lease vs buy at a glance (FTC)
ItemLeaseBuy
Monthly paymentUsually lowerUsually higher with a loan
Ownership at endNo; return the car or buy itYes
Mileage limitsYes; charges for extra milesNo
Wear and tearCharges for excess wear at returnAffects resale value only
Ending earlyEarly termination charges can be highSell or trade any time
  1. Estimate your yearly miles honestly from your past odometer readings.
  2. Decide how long you usually keep a car.
  3. Ask for the lease's capitalised cost, money factor, residual value, mileage limit and fees in writing.
  4. Get a loan preapproval and compare the total cost of buying and keeping the car.
  5. Negotiate the car's price first, whether you lease or buy.
Callout graphic of common mistakes to avoid and what to do instead for Should I lease or buy my next car
Mistakes I see most often, plus the better move. Original diagram by ReportSpeed

Common mistakes:

  • Choosing a lease mileage limit lower than you drive
  • Ignoring wear-and-tear and disposition fees
  • Only negotiating the monthly payment

ReportSpeedMan tip: If you lease, ask whether gap coverage is included, since it covers the difference between insurance payout and what you owe if the car is totalled.

What I would actually do

CFPB illustration of an auto loan form and car keys (CFPB official image), annotated: Get loan terms in writing first
Get loan terms in writing first. Image: CFPB (official source, cropped and annotated by ReportSpeed)

with 12,000 miles a year and a habit of keeping cars a long time, I'd buy, ideally a lightly used model, and keep it well past the loan.

The trade-off people miss: owning means paying for repairs once the warranty ends, while a lease mostly avoids them. Budget for maintenance if you buy.

Checking that it worked

You've compared total costs in writing and chosen what fits your miles and habits.

Quick FAQ

Can I buy the car at lease end?
Usually, at the price in the contract.

Can I negotiate a lease?
Yes, especially the car's price.

What about extra miles?
You pay a per-mile charge set in the contract.

Wrap-up: Lease if you drive within the mileage limit and like changing cars every few years; buy if you keep cars for a long time. Compare total costs, not just the payment.

Wiki: Fuel Economy Basics and Credit Scores and Credit Reports.

Should I lease or buy my next car: primary sources

Step-by-step photos

  1. Before: You're replacing an old car, a lease payment looks tempting, and you're hearing strong opinions on both sides
    1. Before The problem
  2. Cause: When you lease
    2. Why it happens The cause
  3. Fix steps: Estimate your yearly miles honestly from your past odometer…; Decide how long you usually keep a car; Ask for the lease's capitalised cost
    3. The fix The fix
  4. After: Lease if you drive within the mileage limit and like changing cars every few years; buy if you keep cars for a long time
    4. After The result

⚡ Speed Summary

  1. Lease if you drive within the mileage limit and like changing cars every few years; buy if you keep cars for a long time.
  2. If you lease, ask whether gap coverage is included, since it covers the difference between insurance payout and what you owe if the car is totalled.
  3. Comparing only monthly payments ignores mileage limits, wear charges and what you have at the end: a car you own or nothing.

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